Stellar (XLM) is currently in a crucial market phase. A technical pattern suggests a potential price movement of 20%. At the same time, market indicators such as liquidations and open interest indicate increased activity. Whether the price rises or falls depends on further market developments.
Technical Analysis: Is a Breakout Imminent?
XLM is moving within a descending triangle. This pattern can indicate either a trend continuation or a breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.61, signaling a neutral market condition – neither overbought nor oversold. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, which suggests an impending increase in volatility.
XLM’s social metrics are currently low. The social volume is only 15, while social dominance stands at 0.33%. These values indicate limited market attention. In such an environment, a sudden price movement could be more pronounced since fewer market participants are actively engaged.
Liquidations: Short Positions Under Pressure
In the past trading hours, short positions worth $12,240 were liquidated, while long positions reached only $8,600. This development suggests that traders betting on declining prices are being forced to close their positions. This creates additional buying pressure, which could support a price increase.
Open interest – the total value of all open futures contracts – has risen by 3.54% and now stands at $116.89 million. An increase in open interest indicates that more traders are entering the market. This can lead to higher volatility, especially if a breakout occurs.
Our Assessment
XLM is at a critical juncture. The technical analysis suggests a potential 20% price movement, while rising open interest and short position liquidations indicate increased market activity. The low social attention could mean that a sudden move is more pronounced than usual. Traders should monitor support levels and wait for confirming signals before entering positions.
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Last update: March 10, 2025
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