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Ethereum Faces Market Uncertainty as Short Positions Rise

The Key Points in Brief

Ethereum (ETH) is in a challenging phase as the price is battling around the $3,000 mark while simultaneously seeing a rise in short positions. This trend is leading to increased volatility and uncertainty in the market. With over $800 million in cumulative short liquidations within 24 hours, there is a clear tendency of traders to bet on a further price decline. This development raises questions about the short and medium-term prospects for Ethereum.

Ethereum Under Pressure: Increase in Short Positions

Recent data suggests that Ethereum traders are increasingly going short, indicating an expectation of further falling prices. An analysis of Ethereum’s liquidation map on Coinglass shows that short positions dominate. The cumulative short liquidation for the 24-hour period has risen to over $800 million, an indicator that confidence in a short-term recovery of the ETH price is waning.

Long-Term Positions Are Faltering

The liquidation of long positions has increased in recent days, with the liquidations of longs between May 6 and May 7 amounting to over $78 million. In comparison, the short liquidations in the same period were about $18.3 million. This development continues, with a persistent overhang of long liquidations over shorts, underlining the difficult situation for long-term Ethereum investors.

How Deep Can Ethereum Fall?

A look at Ethereum’s daily price history shows a remarkable decline over three days. Currently, ETH is trading around the $3,000 mark, with a slight decrease of less than 1%. This price movement signals some volatility, represented by the Bollinger Bands. The ongoing decline has led Ethereum into a bearish trend, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 40, indicating a strong bearish sentiment.

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Our Assessment

The current market situation for Ethereum is undoubtedly challenging. The increase in short positions and the growing liquidation of long positions point to a bearish sentiment among traders. It is important for investors to keep an eye on market volatility and the associated risks. In the short term, further price declines cannot be ruled out, but in the long term, much depends on developments in the overall crypto market and specific updates around Ethereum. As always, it is crucial to stay well informed and pursue a diversified investment strategy.

Sources: Coinglass, TradingView

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Last update: 25. September 2024

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