BNB Shows Signs of Recovery Amid Accumulation Phase

Key Takeaways
Binance Coin (BNB) shows signs of a potential recovery. On-chain data suggests an accumulation phase, while long-term investors are largely holding their assets. The price is currently about 20% below its all-time high of $788.
Market Development of Binance Coin
BNB reached its all-time high on December 4, 2024. Since then, the token has lost around 20% of its value, while Bitcoin (BTC) declined by approximately 22% over the same period. Despite the correction, various indicators suggest that BNB may be in a consolidation or accumulation phase.
On-Chain Data and Market Sentiment
According to data from Glassnode, 85.8% of all BNB addresses are currently in profit. This value has remained consistently above 75% since February 2024, indicating a prolonged distribution phase. However, there are no clear signs of a massive sell-off by long-term investors.
Long-Term Investors and Their Strategy
The “Coin Days Destroyed” (CDD) indicator shows only occasional spikes, most recently in March 2025. This suggests that older coins have only been moved sporadically, with no widespread distribution. Compared to the strong movements in May and June 2024, current activity remains moderate.
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and Market Psychology
The long-term NUPL indicator currently signals “fear”—a state last observed in February 2021. This means that many investors are holding unrealized losses, even though the price is fluctuating around the $600 mark. Historically, this could indicate an impending market bottom.
MVRV Ratio and New Market Participants
The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) has remained stable at around 1.2 since October 2024. Even the price gains up to December did not significantly increase this value. This suggests that new buyers are continuously entering the market while long-term investors are holding their assets.
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Our Assessment
Current data points to a potential recovery for Binance Coin. Long-term investors are holding their assets, while new buyers are entering the market. Those who believe that the broader market cycle is not yet over may see BNB as an interesting entry opportunity. However, the risk of short-term fluctuations remains.