Bitcoin Signals Reversal Amid Low Sell Pressure
Key Takeaways
- Bitcoin’s Sell-Side Risk Ratio drops to 0.086% – historically a signal for potential trend reversals.
- The MVRV Momentum Curve is approaching a bullish breakout above the 70-day average.
- Technical indicators point to decreasing selling pressure and a possible accumulation phase.
What Does the Sell-Side Risk Ratio Mean?
The Sell-Side Risk Ratio measures the relationship between realized profits and Bitcoin’s market capitalization. A low value – currently 0.086% – indicates that few investors are willing to sell at a profit. Historically, this has been a reliable indicator of upcoming price increases.
The ratio last fell below 0.1% in September 2024. Shortly afterward, a recovery began that pushed Bitcoin to new all-time highs. The current decline could therefore once again signal an approaching trend reversal.
MVRV Momentum Nearing Bullish Signal
Another key indicator is MVRV Momentum (Market Value to Realized Value). It compares Bitcoin’s current market value to the average purchase price of coins in circulation.
When momentum crosses above the 70-day average, it is considered a bullish signal. That breakthrough is currently imminent. Similar patterns occurred in October 2024 and January 2025 – each followed by significant price increases.
Technical Outlook: Resistance Levels Remain
At the time of analysis, Bitcoin was trading around USD 81,100. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are at USD 84,934 and USD 93,916, respectively.
As long as Bitcoin remains below the 50-day average, sideways movement is expected in the short term. However, if the USD 85,000 mark is surpassed, it could attract new buyers and pave the way toward USD 90,000.
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What Does This Mean for You?
Current data suggests an accumulation phase. Many market participants appear to be waiting for stabilization rather than selling in panic. For you as an investor, this could be an opportunity to build positions – assuming you have a long-term strategy.
Important: Technical and on-chain indicators offer guidance, but no guarantees. Monitor the market closely and adjust your decisions based on new developments.
Our Assessment
The combination of an extremely low Sell-Side Risk Ratio and a potential bullish MVRV crossover suggests an upcoming market shift. While Bitcoin is still facing technical resistance, the data points to a gradual return of buying interest.
If you’re already invested in Bitcoin or considering an investment, it’s worth keeping an eye on these indicators. They provide valuable insights into potential turning points – especially during phases like this, when many market participants remain cautious.
Sources
- Glassnode
- TradingView
| Symbol | BTC |
| Coin type | Alt Coin |
| Transaction Speed | Slow |
| Pros |
|
| Cons |
|
| Further practical applications | |
| Price | $83,725.00 |
| 24h % | -0.91 % |
| 7d % | -4.52 % |
| 30d % | -0.20 % |
| 60d % | -15.51 % |
| 1y % | 26.43 % |
| Market Cap | $1,657,507,204,057.00 |
| Max. Supply | 21,000,000.00 |
| Official Links | Website | Whitepaper | Source Code |
| Socials | Reddit | X | Message Board |
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