Hoskinson: Bitcoin May Hit $250K by End of 2025
Key Takeaways
Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano, anticipates a Bitcoin price exceeding USD 250,000 by the end of 2025. His forecast is based on expected interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, new regulations for stablecoins, and growing global crypto adoption. Despite currently weaker network activity for Bitcoin, some valuation models suggest further upward potential.
Hoskinson’s Forecast: Bitcoin to USD 250,000?
In an interview with CNBC on April 9, 2025, Charles Hoskinson expressed optimism regarding the price development of Bitcoin (BTC). In his view, BTC could surpass the USD 250,000 mark by the end of this year or early next year. He cites the following main reasons:
- Expected interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
- Introduction of new regulations for stablecoins
- Increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies by businesses and governments
Hoskinson believes that markets will adapt to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. Once the Fed lowers interest rates, cheap capital could flow into the crypto market. This would trigger a new phase of speculative interest.
Stablecoins as a Growth Driver
A central element in Hoskinson’s argument is the regulation of stablecoins. These digital currencies are pegged to real-world assets such as the US dollar. According to Hoskinson, new legal frameworks could lead to major international corporations accepting stablecoins. This would significantly increase the use of cryptocurrencies in global payment transactions.
Macroeconomic Uncertainties and Their Impact
Although Bitcoin is currently trading below the USD 100,000 mark, Hoskinson sees long-term potential. He expects the market to stabilize in the coming months. After that, a new upward trend could begin around August or September, potentially lasting up to a year. This outlook is based on the assumption that geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties will continue to strengthen the trend toward decentralization.
What Do the Valuation Models Say?
Regardless of Hoskinson’s opinion, technical indicators also point to possible price growth:
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- Mayer Multiple: This model suggests that if Bitcoin trades above USD 87,000, it could theoretically rise to as much as USD 208,000.
- Pi Cycle Top Indicator: This indicator analyzes moving averages. Currently, the 350-day average is above USD 150,000. This suggests that Bitcoin has not yet reached the peak of its cycle.
Network Activity as a Warning Signal
One counter-indicator is the current trend in Bitcoin network activity. According to data from CryptoQuant, the average number of active users dropped by 22% in the first quarter of 2025—from 101,000 to 78,000. This trend indicates lower demand and could point to sideways movement in the short term. For a sustained price increase, network activity would need to rise significantly again.
Our Assessment
Hoskinson’s forecast is ambitious but not unrealistic. The combination of monetary easing, regulatory progress, and geopolitical uncertainty could indeed give the crypto market new momentum. Technical models such as the Mayer Multiple and the Pi Cycle Top Indicator partially support this view.
However, current network activity shows that there is no strong short-term demand. Those looking to invest in Bitcoin should keep an eye on both fundamental and technical developments. A rise to USD 250,000 is possible—but only if the conditions evolve as expected.
| Symbol | BTC |
| Coin type | Alt Coin |
| Transaction Speed | Slow |
| Pros |
|
| Cons |
|
| Further practical applications | |
| Price | $83,713.00 |
| 24h % | -0.98 % |
| 7d % | 1.77 % |
| 30d % | 0.14 % |
| 60d % | -11.79 % |
| 1y % | 23.87 % |
| Market Cap | $1,661,141,963,475.00 |
| Max. Supply | 21,000,000.00 |
| Official Links | Website | Whitepaper | Source Code |
| Socials | Reddit | X | Message Board |
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