Crypto Market Drops: Bitcoin -17%, Ethereum -32%
The Most Important Points at a Glance
The crypto market experienced significant losses in February 2025. Bitcoin (BTC) dropped by 17.39%, while Ethereum (ETH) fell even further by 31.95%. Historical data shows that March is often a weak month for cryptocurrencies. Investors are wondering whether the downward trend will continue or if a recovery is possible.
Bitcoin and Ethereum: February Review
Bitcoin started February stable but came under selling pressure, losing over 12%. Ethereum was hit harder – with a decline of nearly 38%, it underperformed BTC significantly. The weak performance of both assets reflects a general uncertainty in the market.
Historical Performance in March
Statistics indicate that Bitcoin often performs poorly in March. The average return is 3.42%, while the median return is only 0.51%. Ethereum averaged 8.22%, though its median return of 1.80% suggests an inconsistent trend. In several years, both assets recorded negative March results, which could indicate continued weakness.
Technical Analysis: Can the Market Recover?
Bitcoin is trading below key technical levels. The 50-day SMA (simple moving average) is at $97,570, while the 200-day SMA is at $82,231. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands at 36.85 – a sign of persistent selling pressure. A recovery above $90,000 could trigger short-term upward movements, but without volume support, the risk of further losses remains high.
Ethereum presents a similar picture. The 50-day SMA is at $2,890, and the 200-day SMA is at $2,926. With an RSI of 37.82, there are slight recovery tendencies, but momentum remains weak. A return above $2,500–$2,600 would be necessary to initiate a sustainable stabilization.
Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior
Current market sentiment is characterized by uncertainty. Fear and doubt often lead to panic selling, while institutional investors look for favorable entry opportunities. A full capitulation has not yet been observed, but ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties could further deteriorate sentiment.
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Our Assessment
The outlook for March remains uncertain. Historical data suggests continued weakness, while technical indicators do not signal a clear recovery. Investors should act cautiously and monitor key resistance and support levels. A sustainable uptrend requires stronger buying volumes and an improvement in market sentiment.
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