ETH/BTC Under Pressure, Testing Key Support Level
The Most Important Points at a Glance
The ETH/BTC pair is under pressure and approaching a key support level at 0.05 BTC. If Bitcoin (BTC) loses dominance, capital could flow into Ethereum (ETH), triggering a recovery. At the same time, macroeconomic factors such as the declining US Dollar Index (DXY) and political decisions are influencing price movements.
ETH/BTC at a Critical Point
The Ethereum-to-Bitcoin ratio is trading near cyclical lows. The 0.05 BTC level serves as significant support. If a bottom forms here, ETH/BTC could see a trend reversal.
A crucial factor is the capital rotation within the crypto market. If BTC dominance decreases, investors may shift more funds into ETH, which would support the ETH/BTC pair’s price.
Macroeconomic Influences on the Crypto Market
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached new lows, increasing speculation about capital inflows into risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. Historically, a weaker dollar has often led to higher Bitcoin and Ethereum prices.
Additionally, an import tariff hike by US President Donald Trump has put selling pressure on the dollar. As a result, Bitcoin, after an extended period below 86,000 USD, climbed back above this level, while Ethereum surpassed the 2,000 USD threshold.
Technical Analysis: ETH/BTC with a Possible Breakout
Technical indicators suggest a potential recovery. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has given a bullish signal for the first time in nearly a month. Additionally, a support zone has formed, indicating an imminent price movement.
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If the current structure holds, analysts predict an increase towards 0.0019 BTC per ETH. Currently, the pair is trading at approximately 0.002 BTC.
Risks for Ethereum
Despite technical signals, the risk of further decline remains. In previous support zones, buyers were unable to stabilize the price, leading to liquidity losses and new lows. If this pattern repeats, ETH/BTC could fall further, causing Ethereum to lose relative strength against Bitcoin.
Key Resistance and Support Zones
For a sustainable trend reversal in ETH/BTC, a correction in Bitcoin would be crucial. BTC faces a key resistance level at 89,000 USD. If this level is not breached, a downward movement could occur, benefiting ETH/BTC.
However, Ethereum currently shows an increased correlation with Bitcoin. In the past, a sharp BTC decline often led to disproportionate losses for ETH. If Bitcoin drops significantly again, Ethereum could lose the 2,000 USD mark, pushing ETH/BTC to new lows.
Our Assessment
ETH/BTC is at a critical juncture. A recovery is possible but heavily depends on Bitcoin dominance and overall market conditions. Macroeconomic factors such as the weakening US dollar could provide short-term positive momentum.
However, the risk remains that Ethereum continues to lose relative strength against Bitcoin. Investors should closely monitor support zones and wait for confirmation of a trend reversal before taking larger positions.
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