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XRP Spot ETF Speculation Intensifies Amid Bitcoin Evolution and SEC Uncertainty

Will an XRP ETF follow the Bitcoin ETF approval? What to expect?

The possibility of a spot ETF proposal for XRP exists, but it could depend on how Bitcoin evolves and its standing with the SEC. Regulatory clarity of XRP could benefit it in the case of a spot ETF proposal. Its price has fallen below its post-SEC victory range. The spot BTC ETF generates excitement as various parties eagerly await approvals. After the final approval of the spot BTC ETF, will applications for others, like an XRP spot ETF, follow?

Spot XRP ETF? A possibility?

Amid discussions about the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF, there are speculations about a spot ETF proposal for assets like Ripple’s XRP. Steven McClurg, the Chief Investment Officer of Valkyrie Funds, voiced this idea in a recent interview. He suggested that it wouldn’t be surprising to see XRP and Ethereum spot ETFs on the market. This stance is based on the impending approval of the spot BTC ETF.

Potential impacts of a spot XRP ETF proposal

Observing the historical trend of Bitcoin’s price, XRP could experience notable price changes if a spot ETF proposal is submitted. The initial price movement would likely be the result of anticipation regarding potential approval, leading to speculation. Subsequent price fluctuations would be influenced by reactions to news about the proposal, whether authentic or misleading. Moreover, the most significant price increase could occur upon approval. This would be characterized by a combination of institutional investment inflows and the expectation of a substantial price increase.

A case for approval or rejection of a spot XRP ETF

XRP stands out among crypto-assets as it has achieved a certain degree of regulatory clarity. The clarity is due to its partial victory against the SEC. While this could be a compelling point in its favor, it also introduces a potential counterargument. In a 2023 ruling, it was determined that XRP was at least partially not considered a security. However, the SEC has not yet appealed, and further rulings in the case are pending. The approval of a spot ETF proposal falls under the SEC’s jurisdiction, and the ongoing case against Ripple could influence their decision. Despite the initial ruling, the situation remains precarious for Ripple.

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XRP continues to trade downwards

After the ruling on July 13, 2023, XRP experienced a significant price increase, rising from about $0.4 to a high of $0.8. Subsequently, the price stabilized for an extended period around $0.6, until it fell below this range in January. Despite the slight decline, it marked the second consecutive day with a negative price movement.

Source: TradingView

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Last update: 25. September 2024

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